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For example, Tampa Bay only has 45 players under contract currently. That means their current salary cap space of $18.5 million would go down to $14.54 million, shown by $18.5 million – ($660k * 6). Tampa’s cap space can go lower, as the Bucs could add contracts to their roster that are not the base minimum, but this is a much better snapshot of the Buccaneers’ salary cap as it currently stands than the $18.5 million figure.

In the same vein as the above example, but in reverse, when a team has 51 or more contracts, new contracts added to the roster need to take into account the contract that gets knocked out of the top 51.

Let’s say the Chiefs’ 51st contract is a $660k minimum base salary contract. The Chiefs then decide to re-sign Cheap Byron Pringle Jersey to a one-year/$1 million contract. For salary cap purposes, the Chiefs have not subtracted $1 million from their salary cap space. They actually subtracted $1 million – $660k = $340k. So, in this example, only $340k would be taken away from the Chiefs’ cap space.

Teams operate under this Top 51 contracts rule from the beginning of the league year until the first day of the regular season, and it warps offseason accounting to a huge degree. It is how teams can seemingly fit smaller level re-signings under the salary cap and is something every NFL fan needs to keep in mind.

Now, it is time to put our knowledge of NFL contracts to work.

The Cuts

We’ll be using a salary cap of $185.6 million for this mock offseason, which includes carry-over cap space from 2020. This means the Chiefs start the offseason $23.48 million over the cap.

There will probably be a few cuts to some previously important players.

If the salary cap did not decrease this year, the Chiefs could have gone through this offseason without any additional cuts. However, due to the salary cap falling, it seems unreasonable and financially irresponsible to make all the salary cap space needed just from restructures. Some players will have to go.

One player that will be noticeably absent from the mock offseason is defensive end Cheap Frank Clark Jersey. That is by design. Clark is incredibly difficult to move this offseason.

Cutting Frank Clark would charge $39 million in dead cap space in 2021, costing $13 million in cap space.

Cutting Frank Clark with a June 1 designation would charge $25.4 million against the Chiefs cap and gain $500k in cap space.

Trading Frank Clark would charge $20.4 million in dead cap and gain $5.4 million in salary cap space.

None of these figures are ideal. It is hard to imagine that Clark is not a Chief in 2021. The smartest thing to do with Clark is do nothing, hope he plays better in 2021, and if he doesn’t, then decide his fate next year when the numbers are more favorable for a release. In 2021 though? There is not much to do unless Clark takes a bonafide pay cut.

It is possible to have a functional offseason, even with Clark’s contract on the books as-is, with only a few cuts.

In this mock offseason, the Chiefs only cut two players.

Left tackle Cheap Eric Fisher Jersey is such an obvious cut on the surface that it feels almost destined to happen. Fisher will be coming off a late-season Achilles injury on the wrong side of 30 and is in the last year of his contract. By cutting Fisher, the Chiefs would save $11.3 million after replacing his contract in accordance to the Top 51 rule.

It would not be shocking if the Chiefs and Fisher get some sort of contract resolution sorted out, spreading out Fisher’s cap hit over a year or two so he can stay on the roster, but it feels like a long shot and mistake. A sad end for a player who has been a Chief for a long time, but the NFL is a business. Chiefs cap room: -$12.17 million

In the spirit of “the NFL is a business”, cutting running back Cheap Damien Williams Jersey is also a move that is depressing on the emotional side of the game. Business is business though, and the Chiefs would add $1.5 million in savings, which makes Williams a good mid-level cut to help retain some players at more important positions. Cutting a player like Williams is going to be a common roster move this offseason for other teams as front offices try to claw back some salary cap room from veteran contracts. This is why many in the NFL media are predicting this offseason could be rough for veterans around the league. Chiefs cap room: -$10.55 million

Fisher and Williams are the only two cuts needed to get to a respectable salary cap number at the end of the salary cap creation phase. No, cutting right tackle Cheap Mitchell Schwartz Jersey was not done in this mock offseason. It felt like a more interesting exercise to try and go through an offseason with Schwartz on the roster. His return in 2021 feels truly uncertain, so waiting it out and seeing how the roster ends up with him on the team feels like a believable, likely exercise.

Even with the cuts above, the Chiefs are still over the cap. In order to find the rest of the money needed, more salary cap space will have to be added through restructures.

The Restructures

Restructured contracts are not the end of the world.

Despite the negative aura surrounding restructures, due in large part to the salary cap apocalypses happening in Philadelphia and New Orleans, restructures are an incredibly powerful tool.

There are three players who are likely targets for the Chiefs to restructure.

I wrote about quarterback Cheap Patrick Mahomes Jersey contract last offseason and its unorthodox construction. That unorthodox construction can already help the Chiefs create cap space.

Mahomes’ contract is a bank the Chiefs can borrow from a couple of times over the life of the deal if they wish. Keeping the borrowing to only when it is necessary is the key, but this offseason is a time it is needed.

For this mock offseason, $15 million of Mahomes’ roster bonus in 2021 will be restructured into a signing bonus. The $15 million is spread out over the maximum of five years on his deal and saves $12 million in 2021. Chiefs cap room: $1.344 million

Tight end Cheap Travis Kelce Jersey contract is very strange in hindsight. Kelce will make $13.25 million this year but will only make $7.5 million next year. Kelce also has no guaranteed money in his deal after this season, despite having three years left on the deal. To smooth this contract out and reward an all-time Chief with guaranteed money, Kelce gets a restructure to the tune of $10 million in total restructure money to save $8 million against the 2021 salary cap. Chiefs cap room: $9.344 million

Defensive tackle Cheap Chris Jones Jersey is the last restructure needed to make salary cap room. Jones’ restructuring is a bit scarier due to him only having three years left on his contract, but good savings can be found. It is hard not to imagine that Jones is not in the Chiefs’ future plans, so the restructuring still feels safe. Even if the worst happens and the Chiefs need to cut Jones next offseason, they can still do so, saving $19 million in salary cap while having $6.8 million in dead money. Chiefs cap room: $15.344 million

Summary

At the end of cuts and restructures, the Chiefs are now $15 million under the worst-case salary cap of $180 million. This required only a few cuts and restructures and no major moves outside releasing Eric Fisher.

Looking into the future, the restructures have done very little down the road to the Chiefs’ future caps. In 2022 and 2023, the Chiefs added $8 million per year on Mahomes, Jones, and Kelce’s contracts. After that, it’s only $5 million a year till the end of the five-year period the restructure was spread out over.

This amount of borrowing from the future is entirely sustainable.

There are rumors that the salary cap will explode in 2022 due to the increased revenue share from the CBA, more lucrative TV deals and the return of in-person attendance. Over the Cap estimates the salary cap to be $227 million and other estimates have come in around that number as well. When this happens, will the Chiefs really care about $8 million tied up in three of their best players? No, they will not.

If the Chiefs wish to cut more players and make some more salary cap room, releasing players like Cheap Chad Henne Jersey, Cheap Dorian ODaniel Jersey, and Cheap Anthony Hitchens Jersey (with a June 1 designation) are other plausible options. The savings on these types of moves are minuscule though, and it seems the Chiefs like those three for their roles on the team and believe the savings would not outweigh the cost.

While $15.343 million in salary cap space seems like very little to work with, the Top 51 rule will extend that money further than it seems at first glance. The Chiefs’ offseason will look a lot like last year, as they will make signings and re-signings that seem to defy the math of the salary cap.

In the next part of the mock offseason series, we will attempt to simulate those physics-defying roster moves.

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First-team All-Pac-12 selection.

Positives:

Osa Odighizuwa’s calling card is easily his crazy athleticism for an interior defensive lineman. He explodes as soon as the ball is snapped, has a great speed-to-power transition and impressive raw power for a man of his stature. Due to being just 6-foot-2, he naturally maintains good leverage and sinks his hips before driving upward and through opposing guards and tackles. His long arms make up for a lack of ideal height for the position.

Odighizuwa is a sound run defender. He blows plays up in the backfield and has a solid understanding of gap control. His inside-out experience is apparent, as he’s capable of winning in a variety of ways at the point of attack. UCLA used him in a variety of roles (1-tech, 3-tech, 5-tech, 7-tech, etc.) and alignments because he was agile enough to win from anywhere.

Negatives:

While Odighizuwa lined up everywhere in college, he will more than likely be bound to a 4-3 defensive tackle or 3-4 defensive end role at the next level. His lack of mass shows up against stronger linemen and despite playing stronger than his 280-pound frame suggests, he simply doesn’t have the size to make up for it completely. He has a “tweener” profile but isn’t flexible enough to serve as a full-time defensive end in 4-3 schemes moving forward.

Polishing his game and becoming even more technically proficient will help Odighizuwa stay on the field. If he can place his club or swim moves with more precision and further develop his technique, he may not have to rely on his athleticism as much. Adding strength could completely alter his career arc, depending on how much speed or agility it robs him of (if at all).

How Odighizuwa fits with the Chiefs:

The Chiefs’ current stable of defensive linemen — at least on the inside — is quite crowded. Cheap Chris Jones Jersey and Cheap Derrick Nnadi Jersey are the starters, while players like Cheap Tershawn Wharton Jersey and Cheap Khalen Saunders Jersey occupy the next two spots on the depth chart. Wharton’s emergence as an undersized pass-rushing threat on later downs would be a perfect example to follow for Odighizuwa. With that said, he’d be nothing more than a subpackage player with the Chiefs until an increased opportunity presented itself.

Final Thoughts:

Odighizuwa’s tantalizing athletic profile is impossible to ignore. He can make an instant impact in the NFL on obvious passing downs because of it. On the other hand, he’s more of a luxury depth piece than an impact starter in Kansas City. His value to other teams may manifest in the form of a late Day 2 draft pick, but he grades out as a fourth-round selection with immense upside and a bit of versatility if Steve Spagnuolo wanted to get creative.

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On Friday, the NFL’s transaction wire is going to have a surprising name on it: defensive end J.J. Watt. The Houston Texans decided to part ways with their defensive superstar on Friday, per NFL reporter Ian Rapoport, which means he will become an unrestricted free agent. And the Kansas City Chiefs should do anything and everything they can to convince him to join the roster.

Watt is a household name at this point in his career. He’s a future Hall of Fame pass rusher who should have enjoyed closing his career with the same team that drafted him, one who should be chasing AFC South titles and hoping to go further in the postseason. Instead, he’s spent the last few years on a dysfunctional team looking worse by the moment.

When the Texans decided to part ways with Watt, they gave him an opportunity to find a real chance at the Super Bowl ring that has always evaded him over 10 professional seasons. In fact, Watt has never even played in a conference championship. Enter the Chiefs, who could be the perfect short-term home to provide him a late-career opportunity that others cannot.

The Chiefs will enter the coming year with a major hole opposite Cheap Frank Clark Jersey along the defensive front. Cheap Alex Okafor Jersey had his contract restructured last spring, which means he’s scheduled to be an unrestricted free agent. The same can be said of Cheap Taco Charlton Jersey, who was only in K.C. for a single season, and Cheap Tanoh Kpassagnon Jersey, who just wrapped up his rookie deal after four seasons with the Chiefs.

The Chiefs must make the call to J.J. Watt.
At defensive end at this point, the Chiefs have Clark on one side and Cheap Mike Danna Jersey on the other side. Cheap Tim Ward Jersey and Cheap Demone Harris Jersey are both on the roster as promising young players who could surprise and earn a rotational role, but the Chiefs need an infusion of talent at end, someone who can raise the ceiling.

Watt would be, of course, a stopgap, since the Chiefs also need some youth at the same position. But he would also bring a motivated veteran who is looking to chase the elusive Lombardi. Watt has a questionable health record, yes, but he played all 16 games last season for Houston and he remains a defender that opposing coordinators must plan for (usually around).

The finances would have to work, of course, and perhaps Watt would rather play with his brother, T.J., in Pittsburgh. But the Chiefs absolutely have to pick up the phone and at least kick the tires on the idea of bringing in Watt to play along a defensive line that also has Clark and Cheap Chris Jones Jersey heading into next season. It could be the best chance for Watt to chase his Super Bowl dreams, and it could be what the Chiefs need in the interim along the defensive front.