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For example, Tampa Bay only has 45 players under contract currently. That means their current salary cap space of $18.5 million would go down to $14.54 million, shown by $18.5 million – ($660k * 6). Tampa’s cap space can go lower, as the Bucs could add contracts to their roster that are not the base minimum, but this is a much better snapshot of the Buccaneers’ salary cap as it currently stands than the $18.5 million figure.

In the same vein as the above example, but in reverse, when a team has 51 or more contracts, new contracts added to the roster need to take into account the contract that gets knocked out of the top 51.

Let’s say the Chiefs’ 51st contract is a $660k minimum base salary contract. The Chiefs then decide to re-sign Cheap Byron Pringle Jersey to a one-year/$1 million contract. For salary cap purposes, the Chiefs have not subtracted $1 million from their salary cap space. They actually subtracted $1 million – $660k = $340k. So, in this example, only $340k would be taken away from the Chiefs’ cap space.

Teams operate under this Top 51 contracts rule from the beginning of the league year until the first day of the regular season, and it warps offseason accounting to a huge degree. It is how teams can seemingly fit smaller level re-signings under the salary cap and is something every NFL fan needs to keep in mind.

Now, it is time to put our knowledge of NFL contracts to work.

The Cuts

We’ll be using a salary cap of $185.6 million for this mock offseason, which includes carry-over cap space from 2020. This means the Chiefs start the offseason $23.48 million over the cap.

There will probably be a few cuts to some previously important players.

If the salary cap did not decrease this year, the Chiefs could have gone through this offseason without any additional cuts. However, due to the salary cap falling, it seems unreasonable and financially irresponsible to make all the salary cap space needed just from restructures. Some players will have to go.

One player that will be noticeably absent from the mock offseason is defensive end Cheap Frank Clark Jersey. That is by design. Clark is incredibly difficult to move this offseason.

Cutting Frank Clark would charge $39 million in dead cap space in 2021, costing $13 million in cap space.

Cutting Frank Clark with a June 1 designation would charge $25.4 million against the Chiefs cap and gain $500k in cap space.

Trading Frank Clark would charge $20.4 million in dead cap and gain $5.4 million in salary cap space.

None of these figures are ideal. It is hard to imagine that Clark is not a Chief in 2021. The smartest thing to do with Clark is do nothing, hope he plays better in 2021, and if he doesn’t, then decide his fate next year when the numbers are more favorable for a release. In 2021 though? There is not much to do unless Clark takes a bonafide pay cut.

It is possible to have a functional offseason, even with Clark’s contract on the books as-is, with only a few cuts.

In this mock offseason, the Chiefs only cut two players.

Left tackle Cheap Eric Fisher Jersey is such an obvious cut on the surface that it feels almost destined to happen. Fisher will be coming off a late-season Achilles injury on the wrong side of 30 and is in the last year of his contract. By cutting Fisher, the Chiefs would save $11.3 million after replacing his contract in accordance to the Top 51 rule.

It would not be shocking if the Chiefs and Fisher get some sort of contract resolution sorted out, spreading out Fisher’s cap hit over a year or two so he can stay on the roster, but it feels like a long shot and mistake. A sad end for a player who has been a Chief for a long time, but the NFL is a business. Chiefs cap room: -$12.17 million

In the spirit of “the NFL is a business”, cutting running back Cheap Damien Williams Jersey is also a move that is depressing on the emotional side of the game. Business is business though, and the Chiefs would add $1.5 million in savings, which makes Williams a good mid-level cut to help retain some players at more important positions. Cutting a player like Williams is going to be a common roster move this offseason for other teams as front offices try to claw back some salary cap room from veteran contracts. This is why many in the NFL media are predicting this offseason could be rough for veterans around the league. Chiefs cap room: -$10.55 million

Fisher and Williams are the only two cuts needed to get to a respectable salary cap number at the end of the salary cap creation phase. No, cutting right tackle Cheap Mitchell Schwartz Jersey was not done in this mock offseason. It felt like a more interesting exercise to try and go through an offseason with Schwartz on the roster. His return in 2021 feels truly uncertain, so waiting it out and seeing how the roster ends up with him on the team feels like a believable, likely exercise.

Even with the cuts above, the Chiefs are still over the cap. In order to find the rest of the money needed, more salary cap space will have to be added through restructures.

The Restructures

Restructured contracts are not the end of the world.

Despite the negative aura surrounding restructures, due in large part to the salary cap apocalypses happening in Philadelphia and New Orleans, restructures are an incredibly powerful tool.

There are three players who are likely targets for the Chiefs to restructure.

I wrote about quarterback Cheap Patrick Mahomes Jersey contract last offseason and its unorthodox construction. That unorthodox construction can already help the Chiefs create cap space.

Mahomes’ contract is a bank the Chiefs can borrow from a couple of times over the life of the deal if they wish. Keeping the borrowing to only when it is necessary is the key, but this offseason is a time it is needed.

For this mock offseason, $15 million of Mahomes’ roster bonus in 2021 will be restructured into a signing bonus. The $15 million is spread out over the maximum of five years on his deal and saves $12 million in 2021. Chiefs cap room: $1.344 million

Tight end Cheap Travis Kelce Jersey contract is very strange in hindsight. Kelce will make $13.25 million this year but will only make $7.5 million next year. Kelce also has no guaranteed money in his deal after this season, despite having three years left on the deal. To smooth this contract out and reward an all-time Chief with guaranteed money, Kelce gets a restructure to the tune of $10 million in total restructure money to save $8 million against the 2021 salary cap. Chiefs cap room: $9.344 million

Defensive tackle Cheap Chris Jones Jersey is the last restructure needed to make salary cap room. Jones’ restructuring is a bit scarier due to him only having three years left on his contract, but good savings can be found. It is hard not to imagine that Jones is not in the Chiefs’ future plans, so the restructuring still feels safe. Even if the worst happens and the Chiefs need to cut Jones next offseason, they can still do so, saving $19 million in salary cap while having $6.8 million in dead money. Chiefs cap room: $15.344 million

Summary

At the end of cuts and restructures, the Chiefs are now $15 million under the worst-case salary cap of $180 million. This required only a few cuts and restructures and no major moves outside releasing Eric Fisher.

Looking into the future, the restructures have done very little down the road to the Chiefs’ future caps. In 2022 and 2023, the Chiefs added $8 million per year on Mahomes, Jones, and Kelce’s contracts. After that, it’s only $5 million a year till the end of the five-year period the restructure was spread out over.

This amount of borrowing from the future is entirely sustainable.

There are rumors that the salary cap will explode in 2022 due to the increased revenue share from the CBA, more lucrative TV deals and the return of in-person attendance. Over the Cap estimates the salary cap to be $227 million and other estimates have come in around that number as well. When this happens, will the Chiefs really care about $8 million tied up in three of their best players? No, they will not.

If the Chiefs wish to cut more players and make some more salary cap room, releasing players like Cheap Chad Henne Jersey, Cheap Dorian ODaniel Jersey, and Cheap Anthony Hitchens Jersey (with a June 1 designation) are other plausible options. The savings on these types of moves are minuscule though, and it seems the Chiefs like those three for their roles on the team and believe the savings would not outweigh the cost.

While $15.343 million in salary cap space seems like very little to work with, the Top 51 rule will extend that money further than it seems at first glance. The Chiefs’ offseason will look a lot like last year, as they will make signings and re-signings that seem to defy the math of the salary cap.

In the next part of the mock offseason series, we will attempt to simulate those physics-defying roster moves.

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The Kansas City Chiefs have become the home for veteran players trying to find a way toward a championship in recent seasons. Darrelle Revis and Terrell Suggs joined the team’s defense for short stints, and LeSean McCoy and Cheap LeVeon Bell Jersey signed up for the team’s offensive backfield—all in hopes of one more Super Bowl run on the professional resume.

Bell is the latest player to try to make it work with the Chiefs, and unfortunately, nothing quite worked out as planned.

At midseason, shortly after the New York Jets decided to part ways with the former All-Pro, Bell was a hot commodity who also seriously considered the Buffalo Bills (likely money and playing time) and Miami Dolphins (likely money and closer to home). However, in the end, he chose the Chiefs over other teams with dreams of a ring in mind. At first, it felt almost unfair that a team already loaded with playmakers, including a blossoming first-round rookie at the same position, could also add Bell as “yet another guy” to the mix. On the field, however, it never quite played out that way.

There were moments when Bell resembled the former Steelers great who was arguably the most effective running back in the entire NFL. Bell’s patient running style, incredible vision, agility and instincts were part of a package that regularly embarrassed opponents—Chiefs included. Despite time away from the game, and an unimpressive stint with the Jets, Bell looked like a motivated vet ready to show what he could do before hitting the open market.

Fortunately for the Chiefs, they only shelled out $1 million total for the chance taken on Bell. It helped to have the Jets on the hook for a lot more salary, obviously, but the need or opportunity just wasn’t there for Bell to add much at all this year. Even when Cheap Clyde Edwards-Helaire Jersey was sidelined in the postseason, the Chiefs went with Darrel Williams in a lead back role. It was a move that made very little sense on paper, but it’s clear that something was amiss between the coaching staff’s decisions and fan expectations.

In the end, Bell ran 63 times for 254 yards and 2 touchdowns in 9 games in Kansas City. He added another 99 receiving yards on 13 catches, which meant he averaged a whopping 39 yards/game from scrimmage.

The case for coming back
To his credit, Bell was a model citizen for his few months in Kansas City and if the Chiefs liked Bell in a sort of sidecar role on the field and a mentoring role off of it, then it might make sense to retain him for another year. He’s not going to cost too much money given his recent past and the looming salary cap adjustments, so retaining Bell likely wouldn’t cost much.

The Chiefs are bringing back Edwards-Helaire next year and then must decide on Cheap Darrel Williams Jersey, who is a restricted free agent, and Cheap Damien Williams Jersey, who will be returning after opting out for the 2020 season. If the latter Williams is cut for salary cap space, perhaps Bell is brought back as the veteran leader one more time.

The case for letting go
Le’Veon Bell’s longest run since 2016 is 27 yards and that came in 2017. Any team with a vision of the Bell of old needs to adjust their outlook because such projections make no sense given the recent body of work. That’s not to say that Bell wouldn’t emerge as more impressive than he’s looked given more reps with the right offense. After all, the last three years have been a bit odd for Bell, but it can be hard for players to adjust back to the game after missing time, and Bell hasn’t looked the same whether with a horrible team relying on him or a great team just giving him limited reps.

The likelihood of a return: 5 percent
The bottom line is that Bell was always going to be a short-term rental. The contract said so and the team’s posture toward him doesn’t seem to imply anything differently. No one has made overtures one way or the other about a reunion, and Bell is likely to still coast on his reputation enough to get some team to bite for more than the league minimum. Bleacher Report’s Maurice Moton believes the Las Vegas Raiders are the next home for Bell, while Pro Football Focus guessed the Miami Dolphins. Either way, it makes sense for another team to spend and believe and for the Chiefs to move on.