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For example, Tampa Bay only has 45 players under contract currently. That means their current salary cap space of $18.5 million would go down to $14.54 million, shown by $18.5 million – ($660k * 6). Tampa’s cap space can go lower, as the Bucs could add contracts to their roster that are not the base minimum, but this is a much better snapshot of the Buccaneers’ salary cap as it currently stands than the $18.5 million figure.

In the same vein as the above example, but in reverse, when a team has 51 or more contracts, new contracts added to the roster need to take into account the contract that gets knocked out of the top 51.

Let’s say the Chiefs’ 51st contract is a $660k minimum base salary contract. The Chiefs then decide to re-sign Cheap Byron Pringle Jersey to a one-year/$1 million contract. For salary cap purposes, the Chiefs have not subtracted $1 million from their salary cap space. They actually subtracted $1 million – $660k = $340k. So, in this example, only $340k would be taken away from the Chiefs’ cap space.

Teams operate under this Top 51 contracts rule from the beginning of the league year until the first day of the regular season, and it warps offseason accounting to a huge degree. It is how teams can seemingly fit smaller level re-signings under the salary cap and is something every NFL fan needs to keep in mind.

Now, it is time to put our knowledge of NFL contracts to work.

The Cuts

We’ll be using a salary cap of $185.6 million for this mock offseason, which includes carry-over cap space from 2020. This means the Chiefs start the offseason $23.48 million over the cap.

There will probably be a few cuts to some previously important players.

If the salary cap did not decrease this year, the Chiefs could have gone through this offseason without any additional cuts. However, due to the salary cap falling, it seems unreasonable and financially irresponsible to make all the salary cap space needed just from restructures. Some players will have to go.

One player that will be noticeably absent from the mock offseason is defensive end Cheap Frank Clark Jersey. That is by design. Clark is incredibly difficult to move this offseason.

Cutting Frank Clark would charge $39 million in dead cap space in 2021, costing $13 million in cap space.

Cutting Frank Clark with a June 1 designation would charge $25.4 million against the Chiefs cap and gain $500k in cap space.

Trading Frank Clark would charge $20.4 million in dead cap and gain $5.4 million in salary cap space.

None of these figures are ideal. It is hard to imagine that Clark is not a Chief in 2021. The smartest thing to do with Clark is do nothing, hope he plays better in 2021, and if he doesn’t, then decide his fate next year when the numbers are more favorable for a release. In 2021 though? There is not much to do unless Clark takes a bonafide pay cut.

It is possible to have a functional offseason, even with Clark’s contract on the books as-is, with only a few cuts.

In this mock offseason, the Chiefs only cut two players.

Left tackle Cheap Eric Fisher Jersey is such an obvious cut on the surface that it feels almost destined to happen. Fisher will be coming off a late-season Achilles injury on the wrong side of 30 and is in the last year of his contract. By cutting Fisher, the Chiefs would save $11.3 million after replacing his contract in accordance to the Top 51 rule.

It would not be shocking if the Chiefs and Fisher get some sort of contract resolution sorted out, spreading out Fisher’s cap hit over a year or two so he can stay on the roster, but it feels like a long shot and mistake. A sad end for a player who has been a Chief for a long time, but the NFL is a business. Chiefs cap room: -$12.17 million

In the spirit of “the NFL is a business”, cutting running back Cheap Damien Williams Jersey is also a move that is depressing on the emotional side of the game. Business is business though, and the Chiefs would add $1.5 million in savings, which makes Williams a good mid-level cut to help retain some players at more important positions. Cutting a player like Williams is going to be a common roster move this offseason for other teams as front offices try to claw back some salary cap room from veteran contracts. This is why many in the NFL media are predicting this offseason could be rough for veterans around the league. Chiefs cap room: -$10.55 million

Fisher and Williams are the only two cuts needed to get to a respectable salary cap number at the end of the salary cap creation phase. No, cutting right tackle Cheap Mitchell Schwartz Jersey was not done in this mock offseason. It felt like a more interesting exercise to try and go through an offseason with Schwartz on the roster. His return in 2021 feels truly uncertain, so waiting it out and seeing how the roster ends up with him on the team feels like a believable, likely exercise.

Even with the cuts above, the Chiefs are still over the cap. In order to find the rest of the money needed, more salary cap space will have to be added through restructures.

The Restructures

Restructured contracts are not the end of the world.

Despite the negative aura surrounding restructures, due in large part to the salary cap apocalypses happening in Philadelphia and New Orleans, restructures are an incredibly powerful tool.

There are three players who are likely targets for the Chiefs to restructure.

I wrote about quarterback Cheap Patrick Mahomes Jersey contract last offseason and its unorthodox construction. That unorthodox construction can already help the Chiefs create cap space.

Mahomes’ contract is a bank the Chiefs can borrow from a couple of times over the life of the deal if they wish. Keeping the borrowing to only when it is necessary is the key, but this offseason is a time it is needed.

For this mock offseason, $15 million of Mahomes’ roster bonus in 2021 will be restructured into a signing bonus. The $15 million is spread out over the maximum of five years on his deal and saves $12 million in 2021. Chiefs cap room: $1.344 million

Tight end Cheap Travis Kelce Jersey contract is very strange in hindsight. Kelce will make $13.25 million this year but will only make $7.5 million next year. Kelce also has no guaranteed money in his deal after this season, despite having three years left on the deal. To smooth this contract out and reward an all-time Chief with guaranteed money, Kelce gets a restructure to the tune of $10 million in total restructure money to save $8 million against the 2021 salary cap. Chiefs cap room: $9.344 million

Defensive tackle Cheap Chris Jones Jersey is the last restructure needed to make salary cap room. Jones’ restructuring is a bit scarier due to him only having three years left on his contract, but good savings can be found. It is hard not to imagine that Jones is not in the Chiefs’ future plans, so the restructuring still feels safe. Even if the worst happens and the Chiefs need to cut Jones next offseason, they can still do so, saving $19 million in salary cap while having $6.8 million in dead money. Chiefs cap room: $15.344 million

Summary

At the end of cuts and restructures, the Chiefs are now $15 million under the worst-case salary cap of $180 million. This required only a few cuts and restructures and no major moves outside releasing Eric Fisher.

Looking into the future, the restructures have done very little down the road to the Chiefs’ future caps. In 2022 and 2023, the Chiefs added $8 million per year on Mahomes, Jones, and Kelce’s contracts. After that, it’s only $5 million a year till the end of the five-year period the restructure was spread out over.

This amount of borrowing from the future is entirely sustainable.

There are rumors that the salary cap will explode in 2022 due to the increased revenue share from the CBA, more lucrative TV deals and the return of in-person attendance. Over the Cap estimates the salary cap to be $227 million and other estimates have come in around that number as well. When this happens, will the Chiefs really care about $8 million tied up in three of their best players? No, they will not.

If the Chiefs wish to cut more players and make some more salary cap room, releasing players like Cheap Chad Henne Jersey, Cheap Dorian ODaniel Jersey, and Cheap Anthony Hitchens Jersey (with a June 1 designation) are other plausible options. The savings on these types of moves are minuscule though, and it seems the Chiefs like those three for their roles on the team and believe the savings would not outweigh the cost.

While $15.343 million in salary cap space seems like very little to work with, the Top 51 rule will extend that money further than it seems at first glance. The Chiefs’ offseason will look a lot like last year, as they will make signings and re-signings that seem to defy the math of the salary cap.

In the next part of the mock offseason series, we will attempt to simulate those physics-defying roster moves.

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The Kansas City Chiefs look to be getting some reinforcements ahead of Super Bowl LV.

On Monday, the Chiefs designated TE Cheap Deon Yelder Jersey to return from injured reserve according to the NFL’s official transaction report. Yelder suffered a groin injury during the team’s Week 17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. He was subsequently placed on injured reserve ahead of the start of the playoffs, one of a flurry of transactions prior to facing the Cleveland Browns in the divisional round.

Designating Yelder to return opens up a 21-day window for him to participate in practice with the team. Obviously, with only Super Bowl LV against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers remaining, he won’t exactly utilize that entire window. The Chiefs can now activate him to the 53-man roster at any time ahead of the big game.

Yelder will provide the Chiefs with even more depth at the tight end position and on special teams. Besides Cheap Travis Kelce Jersey, Yelder is the best run-blocking tight end that the Chiefs currently have on the team. He’s also impressed at times over the past two years as a pass-catcher. He had a very important 12-yard catch against the Atlanta Falcons in Week 16 and had a big game against the Detroit Lions in 2019.

Kansas City should have an easy answer to finding space on the 53-man roster should Yelder be ready to return ahead of the Super Bowl. Injuries to both Cheap Willie Gay Jersey and Cheap Eric Fisher Jersey have yet to be addressed in terms of moves sending those two players to injured reserve, but they likely will be addressed before the week is over.

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The Tampa Bay Bucs beat up on the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl. It is what it is. The loss to old-man Tom Brady and the Buccaneers was more embarrassing and shocking than anyone would have believed prior to the game. The Chiefs were exposed for what they were this season: Top heavy.

While the Chiefs were excellent on the offensive side of the ball, it was through one phase and three players. In the passing game, the Chiefs were dominant with Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce on passes from Cheap Patrick Mahomes Jersey. While the thought of having Cheap Tyreek Hill Jersey, Cheap Travis Kelce Jersey, and Patrick Mahomes would prompt some teams to trade a century of draft classes, therein lies a fatal flaw in the way the Chiefs’ offense functioned.

Beyond offensive line injuries and an inability to find sustainable production from the ground game, the Chiefs were poorly stocked up with backup receiving targets. To coin a phrase once used by NBA great LeBron James, the Chiefs were “Top heavy as @#$%.” The meaning of this phrase describes the Chiefs perfectly this season.

With Cheap Sammy Watkins Jersey out of the lineup for much of the year, the Chiefs were forced to throw a mixture of Cheap Mecole Hardman Jersey, Cheap Demarcus Robinson Jersey, and Cheap Byron Pringle Jersey at the second wide receiver position. At tight end, Cheap Nick Keizer Jersey got the majority of second reps. While Robinson, Hardman, and Pringle could certainly have a role on a team, they should not be a 2nd (or really even 3rd) option on a receiving corp. Here is what they had to offer this season.

Mecole Hardman: 41 receptions on 62 targets, 560 yards, 4 TDs
Demarcus Robinson: 45 receptions on 59 targets, 466 yards, 3 TDs
Byron Pringle: 13 receptions on 17 targets, 160 yards, 1 TDs
On the surface, this looks somewhat decent. Especially when considering how good Travis Kelce’s production was from the tight end position, this appears like a respectable group until you remember how often the Chiefs threw the ball. Due to a putrid rushing attack, the Chiefs were forced to put the ball in the air more than any team in the league. Chiefs quarterbacks threw the ball 630 times, and if not for explosive separation from Hill and Kelce that resulted in huge plays, they likely would have thrown the ball even more. W

hile I believe that there is merit to the idea that running backs don’t matter, there should certainly be higher production when you throw the ball as frequently as you do, but that is a discussion for another day. The problem in this case is that the players taking on Watkins’s role accounted for a minuscule portion of the production when compared to Kelce and Hill.

Travis Kelce: 105 receptions on 145 targets, 1,416 yards, 11 TDs
Tyreek Hill: 87 receptions on 135 targets, 1,276 yards, 15 TDs
These are mind-blowing statistics. You should certainly have favorite targets in an offense as an NFL quarterback, but these numbers are off the charts compared to the other receivers on the team. Added up, Robinson, Pringle, and Hardman combined had just three more targets than Tyreek Hill who was second in targets on the team. While the tandem of Kelce and Hill is widely believed to be the best in the NFL, the Chiefs truly have no solid number three option to throw to.

The expectation this year from the Kansas City faithful was that Cheap Clyde Edwards-Helaire Jersey would pick up as many targets in the passing game as any running back in the NFL. That, however, never came to fruition in the 2020-2021 season.

An added expectation was that Watkins would be the receiver to carry the Chiefs in the middle of the field when Kelce and Hill were unable to do so. Instead, Watkins had a less-than-productive 2021 campaign due to nagging injury. Watkins finished the season with 37 receptions for 421 yards in 10 games. This number, in comparison with the other receivers for Kansas City is still the most productive outside of Kelce and Hill. Other receivers played more games and had around the same amount of production.